The young don't vote in great numbers. According to most analyses, the youth vote is well below 50% of those below 30 years old and eligible voters while their elders vote well over the 50% level. All this talk about the youth vote being increased is true for some states. However, people under thirty just don't vote, and the same truism holds for the 2008 Presidential primaries.
The latest stats from Pew et al. confirm this, as does Gary Langer who is the director of polling for ABC News when he states, "Overall, using what seems to us a reasonable approach, we’d say that on a state-by-state basis, turnout among voters under 30 is up a little in Democratic contests, and flat in Republican contests. In probably the simplest way to do this, in all 2008 Democratic contests to date, 18- to 29-year-olds have accounted for 14 percent of voters. That compares to an average of 12 percent in 1992, for states for which we have exit poll data – 2 points higher this year. (It was lower in 2004, 9 percent, and 2000, 8 percent, but looks to have been higher in the 1980s.)"
As an aside, certainly anecdotal, when Hillary came to RI she attracted 2-3000 mostly young people to the Rhode Island College Auditorium. When Barack came a little later he attracted 10,000 people to the same auditorium.
Rhode Island went strongly for Hillary...those 10,000 didn't turnout in the actual election.
Young People Don't Vote in substantial numbers, unfortunately, and the same is true this year. The numbers for those young voting have increased a couple of points, and nothing more. Those crowds you see are nothing more than the excitement of youth that does not and never has translated into actual votes whether on primary day or in the general election.
Obama's real and only strength is the black vote. Why shouldn't it be? I can remember we Catholics voted en masse for John Kennedy back in the '60s. AND he is an incredibly attractive candidate in terms of intelligence and his ability to identify problems. Unfortunately for him, however, Hillary has the same abilities AND a track record of accomplishing the task of finding solutions to problems. He doesn't have a track record YET...
BTW, Hillary garnered more of the young vote in massachusetts, california, oklahoma, arkansas, or she at least tied Obama. Among the Hispanic young, she won. We never hear that on MSNBC, LOL...they never show anything positive about Hillary...